منابع مشابه
The Price of Oil Risk
We solve a Pareto risk-sharing problem with heterogeneous agents with recursive utility over multiple goods. We use this optimal consumption allocation to derive a pricing kernel and the price of oil and related futures contracts. This gives us insight into the dynamics of risk premia in commodity markets for oil. As an example, in a calibrated version of our model we show how rising oil prices...
متن کاملRisk Management: Evidence from Oil Price Hedging in Highway Procurement
There is little empirical evidence about risk management heterogeneity across firm types. I evaluate a policy that shifts oil price risk in highway procurement from the private sector to the government, reducing the cost of hedging to zero. In a tripledifferences design using data from Kansas and Iowa, I show that firms value hedging oil price risk between the auction and commencement of work. ...
متن کاملCrude Oil Price Determinants
Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price. Current price movements are a result of scarce refining capacity and speculators betting on higher price...
متن کاملForecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility
We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility to evaluate the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of crude oil daily spot returns. Our objective is to evaluate the predictive ability of time-invariant and Markov switching GARCH models over different horizons. Using Carasco, Hu and Ploberger (2014) test for regime switching in the mean and variance of the ...
متن کاملmanaging imported soybean oil seed price risk with futures market
oil seeds and crude vegetable oil are the raw materials used in vegetable oil producing industry. vegetable oil producing plants in iran are dependent on importing the material in a way that more than 90 percent of these materials are to be imported. soybean oil seed is the main oil seed utilized in the oil producing plants which is procured through importation from other countries. in the worl...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
سال: 2015
ISSN: 2326-8999
DOI: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150406.25